Skip to main content

The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047 by Lionel Shriver

A disturbing and sobering book about a hyperinflation in the USA, and the effects it has on an extended family. I consider this book a necessary read right now, especially now, as some of what this book foretells seems increasingly likely to happen--although hopefully to a much lesser degree.  

A few themes really stood out to me: 
1) On how some people are NGMI and there's nothing you can do to help them, even if you literally tell them exactly what will happen. They will reject it, and worse: they'll reject you for telling them. Hence the awful yet true quote from Thomas Sowell: "People will forgive you for being wrong, but they will never forgive you for being right—especially if events prove you right while proving them wrong."

2) On how people waste enormous amounts of energy arguing about who's right, or trying to "be" right about some unexpected problem, rather than dealing with the actual problem. And then, once something unexpected has happened, people will burn tremendous emotional energy to show how "unsurprised" they were by this clearly, obviously unexpected thing. This is fascinating from an ego standpoint, because if they were really being truthful with themselves, they'd openly admit that what happened actually surprised the absolute shit out of them. And of course in some people, this ego-protection device goes into hyperdrive: their brains resolve experiences like this by claiming that they predicted it all along. Nassim Taleb coined the word "postdicting" to describe this hilariously prevalent phenomenon among business and political pundits whose incomes depend on them appearing both unsurprised and right all the time. 

3) Notable also was the fact that those characters who wasted all their energy trying to appear "right" or "unsurprised" were usually the softest and least adaptable to both the hyperinflationary era and the post-hyperinflation era that followed. Their egos, however, were nicely protected.

Finally, I credit the author for creating a subtle, well-done disturbing ambiance: a blanket of tension and fear that envelops everything, reader included, in the face of all of the economic and social disruption that accompanies a severe inflation. It's a fear not just of economic uncertainty, but also a fear of the truth: reality is changing and the things you thought were true (that your savings would hold value, that the economy would function, that the society built around these things would remain stable) are no longer true, and the ramifications are too awful to think about. Of course, if you fear the ramifications of a truth, you will always be at least one large step away from accepting and dealing with that truth. Thus the author indirectly offers readers yet another truth: do not fear. Do what you can, do the best you can, but do not be fearful. That fear clouds your judgment, slows you down, and it will kill you.

They say if you see a trend one year ahead of everyone else you become rich--but if you see a trend ten years ahead of everybody else you go insane. I wonder about this book and how predictive it is, and I can't tell if getting ready for it will make me insane, rich, both... or neither. 
[Links will take you to my reviews of each of these books]

Note to Self: Buy more Bitcoin.

More Posts

How I Found Freedom in an Unfree World by Harry Browne

This book is a praxis: a set of real-world practices for navigating reality as it is, rather than how we wish it to be. The language is clear and direct, and the book aggregates into a highly robust and coherent work of practical, livable philosophy. Author Harry Browne developed this philosophy over the course of many years, and it's inspiring to hear him talk about his mistakes, his refinements in thinking over time, and the surprising and often liberating benefits that came his way as he followed his own practices. This author eats his own cooking, and the result is a generous gift to readers. This does not mean you'll agree with everything the author writes! In fact, Browne encourages readers to disagree with him as we sort out  our specific values, rules and boundaries. He wants volitional readers, not readers looking to be told what to think and do. We'll come back to this idea. [A quick  affiliate link to Amazon  for those readers who would like to support my wor...

Deflation and Liberty by Jorg Guido Hulsmann

In the modern centralized monetary system, all values are inverted. Debt masquerades as money, the system imposes structural inflation and monetary debasement on everyone, and GDP "growth" is increasingly an economic illusion because of that inflation and debasement. Nearly everyone gets fooled into thinking their wages, home values and stock portfolios are "rising"--and this is yet another illusion thanks to the steady debasement of the money. In such a system, anyone living off wage income, who isn't (yet) an asset owner, gets squeezed a little tighter every year. And this is the primary reason we have a so-called K-shaped economy, where asset owners do well, while those living off their labor value don't. It all comes from steady, deliberate monetary debasement. Our author believes this is immoral, and he's right. He believes that the institution behind our monetary system (the US Federal Reserve) is immoral, and he's right. Further, he believes ...

Generative Energy: Restoring the Wholeness of Life by Ray Peat

A disorganized book by a highly-censored medical iconoclast. Despite its sloppiness, it will still send you down a lot of good rabbit holes. I don't recommend a labored, close reading of this book: just use it as an introduction to Ray Peat's dissident health and physiology ideas. In certain ways, we can think of Ray Peat, along with Robert Mendelsohn and Ivan Illich , as direct ancestors of the courageous COVID-era medical dissidents: doctors like Peter McCullough, Mary Talley Bowden, Pierre Kory, Kirk and Kimberly Milhoan, Paul Marik, Meryl Nass and Peter Gotszche, among others, who bravely spoke out against foolish lockdowns, hospital protocols, government mandates and the use of risky (but of course highly lucrative) therapeutics like Remdesivir--and were censored, suspended or fired for it. [1] As a general rule: in any knowledge domain you should always know who the dissident thinkers are. They are usually the ones who were right all along. [2] [A quick  affiliate link ...